PerkinsProps
Week 7 · searched Oct 24, 5:32 PM

Built Parlays

Every two, three and four leg combination inside a single game, scored and ranked — 0 two-leg, 0 three-leg and 0 four-leg survivors from the whole board. The search runs when the slate refreshes, not when you load the page, so this is just the leaderboard.

Two things are deliberately missing. Cross-game parlays are not searched: with no shared script the honest joint is simply the product, so there is nothing to find. And legs that depend on each other structurally — one player's carries and his yards, a quarterback and his own receiver — are thrown out rather than priced, because that correlation does not travel through the game script and this model cannot see it. Build those by hand in the Lab, where you'll get the warning instead of a number.

The market sets the number here, not us. We take the posted line as the market's coin flip, stretch our simulation until it agrees, and then lean back toward our own view by just 10%. Tested against 614 real Week 1 props, that lean tied the betting line — so read any call here as a lean, not an edge, until the record says otherwise. Break-even is 53.5%, assuming -115, because the feed gives us lines without prices.
LegsSort

Nothing on the board this week fits that filter.